性交视频» 学术活动
明德经济学堂——明德经济学研讨会第95期
发文时间:2026-05-18

性交视频

时间:202652115:00-17:00(周四)

地点:中关村校区明德主楼734

主讲人:林发勤 中国农业大学经济管理学院教授

主持人:石慧敏老师

题目:How does AI affect employment: Insights from a Meta-analysis

摘要:

The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on employment remains a subject of intense theoretical debate and conflicting empirical evidence. To resolve these discrepancies, this study conducts a quantitative meta-analysis of 510 estimates derived from 26 recent primary studies. Our results indicate that the aggregate effect of AI on employment is positive but quantitatively weak, with extensive linear and nonlinear diagnostic tests revealing negligible publication bias. However, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) uncovers substantial heterogeneity underlying this average effect. We find that AI generates robust positive employment effects in non-developed economies, the service sector, and high-skill occupations, challenging the narrative of widespread technological displacement. Furthermore, the magnitude of the estimated effect varies systematically with the level of aggregation, being most pronounced at the country level compared to micro-level units. These findings suggest that AI acts primarily as a driver of structural transformation and reallocation rather than net labor substitution, with outcomes heavily contingent on economic development stages and sectoral contexts.

主讲人简介:

林发勤,经济学双博士,国家高层次人才计划入选者,中国农业大学经济管理学院应用经济学领军教授、博士生导师、经济贸易系系主任、农产品国际贸易研究中心主任,担任留美经济学会会刊China Economic Review等多个SSCI期刊的副主编、特刊主编和编委职务, 中国农业大学学报(人文社科版)》编委,人大复印资料中心“两委会”编委,曾担任中央财经大学国际经济与贸易学院院长助理,在JIE,JDE,EER,JEBO,JCE,《经济研究》《管理世界》等刊物发表论文百余篇,社科重大项目首席专家,自科国际合作重点项目首席专家,自科面上项目结项后评估获“特优”鉴定,作为主要成员参编教育部主持的首批中国经济学教材《中国开放型经济学》,出版畅销书《你应该知道的国际贸易》,研究报告曾多次获得国家领导人批示。